Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 20.759292 23.940164 27.372921 31.343925 35.801678 40.641875 46.285276
2025-09-28 14.841554 19.129727 24.199385 30.591554 38.388526 47.539691 59.038229
2025-10-05 12.553348 17.619694 24.036222 32.656882 43.819611 57.658807 75.968739
2025-10-12 10.882375 16.413056 23.831465 34.329593 48.592142 67.056749 92.488052
2025-10-19 9.246162 14.897194 22.882803 34.720892 51.498570 74.051593 106.203726
2025-10-26 7.923105 13.572262 21.947045 34.895413 53.953159 80.435515 119.343761
2025-11-02 6.716012 12.207926 20.732522 34.447754 55.359623 85.323638 130.578255
2025-11-09 5.690568 10.958153 19.504505 33.785023 56.293125 89.477553 140.886613
2025-11-16 4.822519 9.827143 18.303667 32.991436 56.881929 93.061869 150.456589
2025-11-23 4.020548 8.678350 16.916922 31.718185 56.551710 95.157214 157.822730
2025-11-30 3.708674 8.386802 16.954082 32.794058 60.026109 103.232996 174.626124
2025-12-07 3.413633 8.080090 16.919899 33.721964 63.288648 111.116740 191.482909
2025-12-14 2.929499 7.345822 16.073774 33.241768 64.329238 115.818627 204.114154
2025-12-21 2.460135 6.563876 15.048409 32.350853 64.629913 119.412919 215.337312
2025-12-28 2.361606 6.589194 15.615992 34.499754 70.472252 132.567862 242.876252
2026-01-04 2.230964 6.515227 15.966278 36.250017 75.701485 144.955712 269.742126
2026-01-11 2.000155 6.153610 15.660830 36.659542 78.458577 153.209982 290.026264
2026-01-18 1.781187 5.777098 15.269330 36.842331 80.776920 160.791439 309.492792
2026-01-25 1.546635 5.308534 14.603842 36.373196 81.776455 166.040340 325.120925
2026-02-01 1.330671 4.841946 13.874017 35.678621 82.254132 170.332115 339.223068
2026-02-08 1.137435 4.394662 13.122807 34.846789 82.368218 173.922575 352.195025
2026-02-15 0.947914 3.908812 12.198764 33.511904 81.318005 175.230014 361.036169
2026-02-22 0.889753 3.834926 12.327882 34.639879 85.523372 186.768093 389.187680